Portfolio Regime Research with RLX
How to find profitable market entry regimes across multiple strategies and turn them into reusable allowlists.
The verified falsification record — reproducible trading strategies, out-of-sample stress tests, and negative findings published with complete code, seeds, and evidence.
How to find profitable market entry regimes across multiple strategies and turn them into reusable allowlists.
In this article, we explore how using strict Exit Rules affects the training and performance of Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents in the cryptocurrency market.
Filtering pullbacks using market efficiency (fractal dimension) and institutional limit order absorption turns a loss-making pullback ruleset into a robust, high-Sharpe trading strategy on BTCUSDT 1h.
The definitive multivariable combo strategy on BTCUSDT 1h, out-of-sample validated under realistic commissions.
An in-depth quantitative analysis of the Custom Squeeze-Release Short strategy on BTCUSDT 1h, exploring volatility compression, Shannon entropy, return z-scores, and walk-forward parameter decay.
Robust mean-reversion strategy entering longs on oversold conditions (RSI_14 < 30 and close < BB_Lower) and exiting on recovery. Proven highly robust with WFE = 2.01.
A guide on using the RLXBT Deep Reinforcement Learning (DQN) engine and MCP integrations to train, evaluate, and predict market signals dynamically using AI agents.
A guide on using the RLXBT Deep Reinforcement Learning (DQN) engine and MCP integrations to train, evaluate, and predict market signals dynamically using AI agents.
A textbook Bollinger-band fade looks tradeable in-sample - positive Sharpe, ~50% win rate over 1,291 trades. Walk-forward analysis kills it. A short case study in why out-of-sample validation is non-negotiable.
Symmetrical dual squeeze-release breakouts combined with Shannon price entropy exits cure the out-of-sample parameter decay seen in directional breakout strategies on BTCUSDT 1h.
A guide on using the RLXBT Deep Reinforcement Learning (DQN) engine and MCP integrations to train, evaluate, and predict market signals dynamically using AI agents.
Short-only strategy based on custom squeeze-release indicators on BTCUSDT. Backtest shows Sharpe 1.64 and low drawdown, but WFE of 0.35 signals high potential for overfitting.
A 16-altcoin BTC-led portfolio achieved gross Sharpe 10.73—but turnover costs were still 26.6 times larger than its alpha.
Weekly crypto momentum survived fees and funding, gained 106% in 2025, then reversed to -43% in the untouched 2026 test. Volatility scaling did not save it.
A guide on using the RLXBT Deep Reinforcement Learning (DQN) engine and MCP integrations to train, evaluate, and predict market signals dynamically using AI agents.
A robust volatility breakout strategy on BTCUSDT 1h, gated by Hurst Exponent and Fractal Dimension Index, out-of-sample validated under real fees.
Why a 'modest' 1.5% unleveraged return over 9 months is actually a major quant victory. We break down capital efficiency (1.67% time-in-market), leverage scaling, and overcoming transaction friction.
A native RLXBT agent searched for a BTC 1h Morning Star, froze the pattern before evaluation, beat a directional baseline—and still refused to call three trades a validated strategy.