5-minute volume leftover is real too, still not a trade

Serg
Serg
Published August 27, 2026
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5-minute volume leftover is real too, still not a trade

Verdict: WATCH · Asset/TF: BTCUSDT 5m · Sample: chronological 60/20/20

Continuation of the 15m residual-magnitude WATCH. Own discovery freeze (not 15m copies): |r| thr=0.002868, dollar-volume thr=1.86e7. Primary H=1 among collapsed A events. No sign claim.

What happened

Gate Val OOS
Gate1 raw C/A 1.218, t=+15.71 CLEAR 1.236, t=+10.95 CLEAR
Gate2 OLS γ +0.000444, t=+8.45 CLEAR +0.000420, t=+7.58 CLEAR

Discovery residual also clears (t=+5.92) — unlike 15m, where discovery residual was null. So this is not only a 2023–26 leftover; it is broader on 5m. Q3 skipped. Not a directional book.

Trading

Risk-texture / magnitude context at 5m. Do not build a 5m volume-breakout bot.

Final Verdict

WATCH

Finer resolution of the same residual-volume fact that survived on 15m BTC/ETH. Still no sign edge.

Reproducible research result

Backtest evidence

BTCUSDT5m734,579 bars
Research verdict
needs more data
0
Trades

Robustness

Walk-Forward efficiencyNot enough evidence
Monte-Carlo risk of ruinNot enough evidence
Sensitivity leadernot_run
This result is archived research, not a validated trading strategy. More independent evidence is required.
MCP trail: load_dataset

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