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Research Articles

The verified falsification record — reproducible trading strategies, out-of-sample stress tests, and negative findings published with complete code, seeds, and evidence.

strategyrobustness
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Alt/BTC momentum is still just 2021

Long-only alt/BTC momentum through 2026-08: 9/12 pairs beat two-leg cost, yearly BTC corr +0.04, but 2021 is still 81% of the return. Ex-2021 +0.55%/yr (t=0.85). WFA/MC 0/12. Rejected.

overfitALT/BTC · 1h
+0.32% total return0.85 sharpe0.03% max drawdown
SergSerg
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